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Agent-Based Systemic-Risk Dissertation

Completed or published: 2026-01-01

Dissertation research plan connecting temporal leakage, counterfactual replay, herding, liquidity fragility, and systemic risk in AI-mediated financial markets.

Research 2026
Agent-Based Systemic-Risk Dissertation
Agent-Based Systemic-Risk Dissertation Research overview

Agent-Based Systemic-Risk Dissertation

This private dissertation coordination project organizes a research program on agentic AI in financial markets. The central concern is how AI-mediated decision systems can create invalid evaluations, correlated behavior, liquidity fragility, and systemic risk.

Core thesis

As agentic AI systems become more common in financial decision-making, risk can emerge from two connected failure modes:

  • Invalid historical evaluation: agents use information that was unavailable at the simulated decision time.
  • Systemic interaction: many individually plausible agents produce correlated perception, correlated action, shared data-source dependence, shared prompts, and cascade-like stress.

Research structure

The dissertation plan is organized around three paper directions:

  1. Financial replay and temporal leakage
  2. Agentic herding and systemic-risk metrics
  3. Interventions, governance, and mitigation design

Why it matters

Agentic AI should be evaluated as part of a system, not only as an isolated model. This work connects analytics, agent-based modeling, market microstructure, financial risk, and AI governance into one research agenda.

Status

This is a private research-in-progress repository. The portfolio page describes the academic direction without exposing private notes, drafts, or implementation details.